Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 24.081387 28.581979 34.194681 41.904475 52.558555 6.733886e+01 90.586292
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 19.174440 24.341252 31.539509 42.901541 61.752058 9.510312e+01 169.972214
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 15.787201 20.795407 28.225632 40.989920 64.916555 1.158344e+02 275.315988
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 13.901723 18.860400 26.605261 40.912636 70.920255 1.481304e+02 519.989412
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 12.165082 16.804812 24.286853 38.771687 71.570695 1.689255e+02 880.871042
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 10.663101 14.891377 21.844211 35.704307 68.687491 1.768356e+02 1319.795638
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.544039 13.453559 19.991365 33.363192 66.643657 1.866571e+02 2171.776640
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 9.730772 14.152373 21.982192 39.513282 91.134946 3.726524e+02 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.445738 14.008347 22.387572 42.314228 108.604301 6.370706e+02 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.684238 12.947143 20.854263 39.977853 105.912553 7.042842e+02 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.408831 12.723396 20.954719 41.853967 122.093645 1.278937e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.006545 12.227873 20.426457 41.911141 130.717427 2.060702e+03 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.600283 11.721260 19.877643 41.993540 141.364925 4.168430e+03 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.287925 11.363917 19.606579 42.861170 158.633122 1.717687e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.823026 10.676052 18.521243 40.939878 156.466304 3.681303e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.523081 10.282148 18.048136 40.861506 167.803411 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 6.126225 9.671393 17.017751 38.724412 161.535919 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 5.703866 8.987968 15.768414 35.662530 145.979909 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 5.353991 8.430235 14.771976 33.325463 135.373581 6.172001e+06 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 5.517571 8.889487 16.167216 39.464629 208.297316 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 5.468597 8.918750 16.552259 42.260300 264.833487 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 5.187569 8.455159 15.675571 39.928337 247.870296 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 5.110447 8.407537 15.833878 41.800918 301.650941 NaN NaN